Seismology TowArd Research innovation with data of Earthquake Project (STAR-E Project)「New developments in space-time earthquake forecasting and monitoring: from long-term to real-time」

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FY2024

 NEW

9-13 December 2024; AGU Annual Meeting 2024, Washington D.C., USA.

  • Niu, Y.* and Zhuang, J. (2024).(2024). Comparison of Priors in Objective Bayesian Inversion for Geophysical Data Analysis, AGU Annual Meeting 2024, Washington D.C., USA, 10 December 2024. (Poster)
  • Wu, J.*, Gao, X., Zhuang, J., Yao, D., Wei, M. and Song, J. (2024). Multiple Aftershock Mechanisms of 2014 Kangding Doublet, Eastern Tibet based on AI Technique, AGU Annual Meeting 2024, Washington D.C., USA, 13 December 2024. (Oral)
  • Gentili, S.*, Chiapetta, G.D., Petrillo, G., Brondi, P. and Zhuang, J. (2024). A challenging application of NESTORE Machine Learning Algorithm to Japan seismicity, AGU Annual Meeting 2024, Washington D.C., USA, 12 December 2024. (Poster)
  • Lippiello, E.*, Marzocchi, W., Petrillo, G., Rosso, A. and Zhuang, J. (2024). When and Where Will the Next Big Quake Strike? Insights from Physical Modeling, AGU Annual Meeting 2024, Washington D.C., USA, 11 December 2024. (Poster)
  • Petrillo, G.* and Zilio, L.D. (2024). Statistical Characterization of the BMKG Seismic Catalog for Enhanced Seismic Risk Monitoring in the Indonesian Region, AGU Annual Meeting 2024, Washington D.C., USA, 10 December 2024. (Poster)
  • Nanjo, K.* and Hori, T. (2024). Frequency-magnitude distributions of earthquakes imply likelihood and unlikelihood of megaquake recurrence in Japan, AGU Annual Meeting 2024, Washington D.C., USA, 12 December 2024. (Oral)
  • Nishikawa, T.*，Kostoglodov V. and Nishimura, T. (2024). Earthquake Swarm Detection in the Middle America Subduction Zone: Implications for the Relationship between Seismicity and Slow Slip Events, AGU Annual Meeting 2024, Washington D.C., USA, 12 December 2024. (Oral)
  • Ito, Y.*, Nishikawa, T., Ito, Y. and Ohyanagi, S. (2024). Quantification of Fast-Earthquake Activation Following Tectonic Tremors in the Iwate-Oki Region of the Japan Trench, AGU Annual Meeting 2024, Washington D.C., USA, 12 December 2024. (Oral)
  • Koyama, K.*, Nishikawa, T. and Nishimura, T. (2024). Global Investigation of Foreshock Acceleration Prior to Large Earthquakes, AGU Annual Meeting 2024, Washington D.C., USA, 12 December 2024. (Oral)
  • Minson, S.E.*, Wu, S., Au, S.K., Cochran, E.S., Yano, K., Parker, G.A. and Baltay, A. (2024). From One Point to Many: Looking at Seismic Hazard Over an Area, AGU Annual Meeting 2024, Washington D.C., USA, 9-13 December 2024. (Online Poster)
NEW

25 November 2024; Scientific Seminars by renowned international experts – INGV 25th Anniversary, INGV Rome - streaming

  • Ogata, Y. (2024). Development of ETAS models: before its birth to today, Scientific Seminars by renowned international experts – INGV 25th Anniversary, INGV Rome - streaming, 25 November 2024 (Oral) →see YouTube Video (for Lecture and questions)
NEW

21-23 October 2024; The 2024 SSJ fall meeting, Toki Messe, Niigata city.

  • Zhuang, J. (2024). Quantification of earthquake Predictability and detailing of entropy-based scores for evaluating earthquake forecast, The 2024 SSJ fall meeting, Toki Messe , Niigata city, 23 October 2024. (Oral)
  • Ogata, Y. (2024). Inverse analysis of non-uniform seismic data by ETAS model, The 2024 SSJ fall meeting, Toki Messe, Niigata city, 22 October 2024. (Oral)
  • Yano, K.*，Kano, M., Takabatake, T., Tanaka, Y. and Ohta, Y. (2024). Spatio-temporal characteristics in GNSS time series based on robust spectral analysis, The 2024 SSJ fall meeting, Toki Messe, Niigata city, 22 October 2024. (Oral)
  • Yamada, M.* and Nakano, M. (2024). Source mechanism analysis of the tsunami near Torishima on October 9, 2023, The 2024 SSJ fall meeting, Toki Messe, Niigata city, 21 October 2024. (Oral)
  • Iwata, T.* and Iio, Y. (2024). Estimated spatial stress pattern in the aftershock area of the 2016 Central Tottori earthquake, The 2024 SSJ fall meeting, Toki Messe, Niigata city, 21 October 2024. (Poster)
  • Nanjo, K.Z.*，Yukutake, Y. and Kumazawa, T. (2024). Analysis of seismicity and crustal movement on the eastern side of Izu Peninsula, The 2024 SSJ fall meeting, Toki Messe, Niigata city, 21 October 2024. (Poster)
  • Nanjo, K.Z.*，Kumazawa, T., Izutsu, J., Hori, T., Nagao, T. and Oike, K. (2024). Seismicity before and after the February 6, 2023 M7.8 and M7.5 earthquakes in Turkey, The 2024 SSJ fall meeting, Toki Messe, Niigata city, 22 October 2024. (Oral)
  • Kumazawa, T.* and Ogata, Y. (2024). Nonstationary ETAS model: How it works for external forcing, The 2024 SSJ fall meeting, Toki Messe, Niigata city, 22 October 2024. (Oral)
  • Peng, H.*，Yamada, M. and Wu, S. (2024). Constructing new empirical envelope function and GMPE for estimating the seismic intensity in combination with IPF method, The 2024 SSJ fall meeting, Toki Messe, Niigata city, 23 October 2024. (Oral)
  • Niu, Y.* and Zhuang, J. (2024). Bayesian non-parametric inference for the ETAS model, The 2024 SSJ fall meeting, Toki Messe, Niigata city, 22 October 2024. (Oral)
  • Kato, A.*, Nakagawa, S., Kurashimo, E., Sakai, S., Emoto, K. and Matsumoto, S. (2024). A long-persisting seismic swarm and the subsequent nucleation of the 2024 M7.6 Noto earthquake, The 2024 SSJ fall meeting, Toki Messe, Niigata city, 22 October 2024. (Oral)
  • Mitsui, Y.*，Utagawa, Y. and Miyamoto, A. (2024). Expansion rate of aftershock zones and b-value for magnitude 7-class earthquakes around Japan: characteristics of interplate earthquakes, The 2024 SSJ fall meeting, Toki Messe, Niigata city, 22 October 2024. (Oral)
  • Nishikawa, T. (2024). Statistical Seismological Study on the Activity of Earthquakes and Slow Earthquakes in Subduction Zones, The 2024 SSJ fall meeting, Toki Messe, Niigata city, 21 October 2024. (Invited)
  • Nishikawa, T.*，Kostoglodov V. and Nishimura, T. (2024). Earthquake Swarm Detection along the Middle America Trench: Implications for the Relationship between Seismicity and Slow Slip Events, The 2024 SSJ fall meeting, Toki Messe, Niigata city, 22 October 2024. (Oral)
  • Fukushima, Y.* and Nishikawa, T. (2024). On the probability of an M7-class earthquake in Hyuganada region to trigger an M8 or larger earthquake, The 2024 SSJ fall meeting, Toki Messe, Niigata city, 21 October 2024. (Poster)
  • Yoshimura, R*，Nishikawa, T. and Nishimura, T. (2024). Detection of earthquake swarms off the Boso Peninsula and investigation of the association with small slow slip events, The 2024 SSJ fall meeting, Toki Messe, Niigata city, 22 October 2024. (Oral)
  • Koyama, K.*，Nishikawa, T. and Nishimura, T. (2024). Global investigation of foreshock acceleration prior to large earthquakes, The 2024 SSJ fall meeting, Toki Messe, Niigata city, 22 October 2024. (Oral)
  • Aso, N. (2024). True b-value Estimation Using Recurrent Neural Network, The 2024 SSJ fall meeting, Toki Messe, Niigata city, 21 October 2024. (Poster)
  • Kato, K.* and Aso, N. (2024). Modeling Subdaily Occurrence of Slow Slip Events in Western Shikoku, The 2024 SSJ fall meeting, Toki Messe, Niigata city, 21 October 2024. (Poster)
  • Fujisawa, H.*，and Aso, N. (2024). Existing Probability of Triple Junctions Based on Plate Motion Angles, The 2024 SSJ fall meeting, Toki Messe, Niigata city, 21 October 2024. (Poster)
  • Hamana, M.* and Aso, N. (2024). Tectonics and Island Shape of Izu and Bonin Islands, The 2024 SSJ fall meeting, Toki Messe, Niigata city, 21 October 2024. (Poster)
  • Arakawa, H.* and Aso, N. (2024). Shallow Volcanic Swarms near Izu Oshima in 2023, The 2024 SSJ fall meeting, Toki Messe, Niigata city, 21 October 2024. (Poster)
  • Shimomura, K.* and Aso, N. (2024). Swarm-ness Analysis of Low-Frequency Earthquakes in Western Shikoku Using Modified ETAS Model, The 2024 SSJ fall meeting, Toki Messe, Niigata city, 21 October 2024. (Poster)
  • Ishikawa, D.* and Aso, N. (2024). Magnitude Dependency of ETAS Parameters, The 2024 SSJ fall meeting, Toki Messe, Niigata city, 21 October 2024. (Poster)
  • Fukushige, T.* and Aso, N. (2024). ScS Travel Times in Japan, The 2024 SSJ fall meeting, Toki Messe, Niigata city, 22 October 2024. (Poster)
  • Ikura M.* and Aso, N. (2024). Crafting Rotatable Beach Balls of Focal Mechanism Solution, The 2024 SSJ fall meeting, Toki Messe, Niigata city, 22 October 2024. (Poster)
  • Kubo, H.*，Wu, S., Kano, M., Kato, S., Oana, A., Okazaki, T., Okada, N., Kame, N., Kodera, Y., Sato, D., Shimojo, K., Tamaribuchi, K., Naoi, M., Nishiyama, R., Hirahara, K., Miyamoto, T., and Yamada, M. (2024). Hackathon on Large Language Models and Earthquake Researches, The 2024 SSJ fall meeting, Toki Messe, Niigata city, 21 October 2024. (Poster)

23-24 September 2024; Symposium 'New Statistical Science' organised by the Innovative Development of Theory and Methodology for Large-scale Complex Data, Shiinoki Cultural Complex, Ishikawa Prefecture Memorial Hall, Kanazawa City, Ishikawa Prefecture.

  • Zhuang, J. (2024). Probabilistic Earthquake Forecasting: How to Live Better Between Complete Randomness and Complete Predictability, Symposium 'New Statistical Science' organised by the Innovative Development of Theory and Methodology for Large-scale Complex Data, Ishikawa Prefecture Government Memorial Shiiinoki Guest House, Kanazawa, Ishikawa, Japan. 23 Sep 2024. (Invited Talk)
  • Yano, K. (2024). 最⼩情報従属モデルの地震カタログへの適用, 科研費シンポジウム「あたらしい統計科学」特別セッション「地震の⼤規模複雑データ解析」, Symposium 'New Statistical Science' organised by the Innovative Development of Theory and Methodology for Large-scale Complex Data, Ishikawa Prefecture Government Memorial Shiiinoki Guest House, Kanazawa, Ishikawa, Japan. 23 Sep 2024. (Invited Talk)
  • Kumazawa, T.* and Ogata, Y. (2024). Study of anomalous seismic activity using a point process model: spatio-temporal variations of swarm seismicity leading to the M7.6 Noto Peninsula earthquake and interpretation of anomalous activity, Symposium 'New Statistical Science' organised by the Innovative Development of Theory and Methodology for Large-scale Complex Data, Ishikawa Prefecture Government Memorial Shiiinoki Guest House, Kanazawa, Ishikawa, Japan. 23 Sep 2024. (Invited Talk)

22-27 September 2024; 39th General Assembly (GA) of the European Seismological Commission, Corfu, Greece.

  • Gentili, S., Ciappetta, G.D., Petrillo, G., Brondi, P., Zhuang, J. and Giovambattista, R. D. (2024). NESTORE Machine Learning Algorithm applied to forecast Strong Subsequent Earthquakes in Japan, 39th General Assembly (GA) of the European Seismological Commission, Corfu, Greece, 26 September 2024. (Oral)
  • Gentili, S., Brondi, P., Sugan, M., Rossi, G., Petrillo, G., Zhuang, J. and Campanella, S. (2024). Cluster identification and fluid migration: the case of the 2018 Molise (Italy) sequence, 39th General Assembly (GA) of the European Seismological Commission, Corfu, Greece, 26 September 2024. (Oral)
  • Iwata, T. (2024). Estimation of background stress changes based on the rate- and state-friction seismicity model and the space-time ETAS model, 39th General Assembly (GA) of the European Seismological Commission, Corfu, Greece, 26 September 2024. (Poster)

7-11 September 2024; 2024 Statewide California Earthquake Center (SCEC) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs

  • Zhuang, J. (2024). Quantification of earthquake Predictability and detailing of entropy-based scores for evaluating earthquake forecast, 2024 Statewide California Earthquake Center (SCEC) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, 8 September 2024. (Poster)

26-31 May 2024; Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2024 (JpGU2024), MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba (Hybrid Meeting).

  • Zhuang, J. (2024). The ETAS model can explain both foreshock and the Båth Law, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2024 (JpGU2024), MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba (Hybrid Meeting), 26 May 2024. (Oral)
  • Ogata, Y. (2024). Inverse analysis of aftershock activities by non-stationary ETAS models based on inhomogeneous seismic catalogs immediately following major earthquakes, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2024 (JpGU2024), MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba (Hybrid Meeting), 26 May 2024. (Oral)
  • Yano, K.*，Takahashi, A. and Kano, M. (2024). Objective clustering of GNSS velocities based on parallel translation and Euler-vector estimation for the identification of crustal blocks, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2024 (JpGU2024), MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba (Hybrid Meeting), 27 May 2024. (Poster)
  • Yano, K.*，Kano, M., Takabatake, T., Tanaka, Y. and Ohta, Y. (2024). Noise characteristics in GNSS time series based on robust spectral analysis: (1) Description of robust spectral estimation, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2024 (JpGU2024), MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba (Hybrid Meeting), 29 May 2024. (Poster)
  • Yamada, M. and Xiao, Y. (2024). Performance of the Earthquake Early Warning System for the 2024 Noto Earthquake, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2024 (JpGU2024), MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba (Hybrid Meeting), 27 May 2024. (Poster)
  • Wu, S.*, Otake, Y., Mizutani, D., Liu, C., Asano, K., Sato, N., Saito, T., Baba, H., Fukunaga, Y., Higo, T., Kamura, A., Kodama, S., Metoki, M., Nakamura, T., Nakazato, Y., Shioi, A., Takenobu, M., Tsukioka, K. and Yoshikawa, R. (2024). Preliminary investigation of the application of large language models to geotechnical problems, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2024 (JpGU2024), MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba (Hybrid Meeting), 27 May 2024. (Oral)
  • Iwata, T. (2024). The background stress in the aftershock area of the 2000 Tottori Western earthquake estimated from stress rotation, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2024 (JpGU2024), MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba (Hybrid Meeting), 30 May 2024. (Poster)
  • Nanjo, K.Z. and Hori, T. (2024). Space and time changes in stress state and b-value off the coast of Tohoku and Hokkaido districts, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2024 (JpGU2024), MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba (Hybrid Meeting), 26 May 2024. (Oral)
  • Kato, A. (2024). Implications of fault-valve behavior illuminated by early aftershock evolutions, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2024 (JpGU2024), MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba (Hybrid Meeting), 29 May 2024. (Invited)
  • Kato, A., Nakagawa, S., Kurashimo, E. and Sakai, S. (2024). Foreshock sequence prior to the 2024 M7.6 Noto-Hanto earthquake, Japan, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2024 (JpGU2024), MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba (Hybrid Meeting), 28 May 2024. (Oral)
  • Kumazawa, T.* and Ogata, Y. (2024). Trends in Seismic Activity in the Noto Peninsula and Interpretation of Anomalous Activities in the Pre-M7.6 Period, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2024 (JpGU2024), MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba (Hybrid Meeting), 26 May 2024. (Oral)
  • Yoshimura, R.*, Nishikawa, T. and Nishimura, T. (2024). Development of an earthquake swarm detection method using the ETAS model and AIC and its application to the offshore of the Boso Peninsula, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2024 (JpGU2024), MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba (Hybrid Meeting), 26 May 2024. (Oral)
  • Mitsui, Y. (2024). Comparison of b-positive estimation with traditional method: A case study of aftershocks from magnitude-7 class earthquakes around the Japanese archipelago, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2024 (JpGU2024), MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba (Hybrid Meeting), 26 May 2024. (Poster)
  • Aso, N.*, Aso, M., Shelly, D. and Ide, S. (2024). Insights into the Mechanics of the Lower Crust from Focal Mechanisms of Low-Frequency Earthquakes on the San Andreas Fault, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2024 (JpGU2024), MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba (Hybrid Meeting), 28 May 2024. (Poster)
  • Ueda, T. and Nishimura, T. (2024). Spatial correlation of the rate of the shear strain energy density change and the number of declustered crustal earthquakes in Japan, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2024 (JpGU2024), MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba (Hybrid Meeting), 26 May 2024. (Oral)
  • Kano, M.*，Yano, K., Tanaka, Y., Takabatake, T. and Ohta, Y. (2024). Noise characteristics in GNSS time series based on robust spectral analysis: (2) application to GEONET F5 solution, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2024 (JpGU2024), MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba (Hybrid Meeting), 29 May 2024. (Poster)
  • Kano, M.*，Tanaka, Y., Sato, D., Iinuma, T. and Hori, T. (2024). Data Assimilation for Fault Slip Monitoring and Short-Term Prediction of Spatio-Temporal Evolution of Slips: Application to the 2010 Long-Term SSE in the Bungo Channel, Japan, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2024 (JpGU2024), MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba (Hybrid Meeting), 28 May 2024. (Poster)
  • Tamaribuchi, K. (2024). Monitoring of shallow tremors along the Nankai Trough and identification of false detections, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2024 (JpGU2024), MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba (Hybrid Meeting), 27 May 2024. (Poster)
  • Kodera, Y. (2024). P-wave-based earthquake early warning without P-wave detection: Investigation of a P-wave-based PLUM algorithm, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2024 (JpGU2024), MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba (Hybrid Meeting), 27 May 2024. (Poster)
  • Peng, H.*，Wu, S. and Yamada, M. (2024). Constructing envelope functions of seismic intensity for the evaluation of EEW in Japan, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2024 (JpGU2024), MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba (Hybrid Meeting), 27 May 2024. (Poster)
  • Niu, Y.* and Zhuang, J. (2024). Bayesian non-parametric inference for the ETAS model, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2024 (JpGU2024), MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba (Hybrid Meeting), 26 May 2024. (Oral)
  • Matsu'ura, R.S. (2024). The unparalleled ability of Michizane Sugawara suggests the possibility that the August 887 Nin'na Earthquake was a Non-Nankai Earthquake, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2024 (JpGU2024), MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba (Hybrid Meeting), 26 May 2024. (Oral)

FY2023

March 16-20, 2024; StatSei13 (The International Statistical Seismology workshop), Southern University of Science and Technology (SUSTech) Convention Center, Shenzhen, China.

  • Zhuang, J. (2024). Explaining both foreshock and the Båth Law using the ETAS model, StatSei13, Southern University of Science and Technology (SUSTech) Convention Center, Shenzhen, China, 17 March 2024. (Oral)
  • Ogata, Y. (2024). Recent progress in ETAS models of heterogeneous seismic activity, StatSei13, Southern University of Science and Technology (SUSTech) Convention Center, Shenzhen, China, 17 March 2024. (Invited)
  • Ueda, T. (2024). Spatial correlation of the shear strain energy change and the number of declustered crustal earthquakes in Japan, StatSei13, Southern University of Science and Technology (SUSTech) Convention Center, Shenzhen, China, 17 March 2024. (Oral)
  • Xiong, Z.* and Zhuang, J. (2024). A study of changes in global background and clustering seismicity over the last two decades, StatSei13, Southern University of Science and Technology (SUSTech) Convention Center, Shenzhen, China, 17-20 March 2024. (Poster)
  • Petrillo, G.* and Zhuang, J. (2024). Magnitude correlation in earthquake triggering: Artifact or reality?, StatSei13, Southern University of Science and Technology (SUSTech) Convention Center, Shenzhen, China, 17 March 2024. (Invited)
  • Guo, Y.*, Zhuang, J. and Zhang, H. (2024). Statistical modeling of 3D Seismicity and its correlation with fault slips along Major Faults in California, StatSei13, Southern University of Science and Technology (SUSTech) Convention Center, Shenzhen, China, 17 March 2024. (Invited)
  • Hainzl, S.*, Kumazawa, T. and Ogata, Y. (2024). Aftershock forecasts based on incomplete records of early aftershocks: Example of the 2023 SE Türkiye earthquake sequence, StatSei13, Southern University of Science and Technology (SUSTech) Convention Center, Shenzhen, China, 18 March 2024. (Oral)
  • Wang,R.*, Han, P., Zhuang, J., Miao, M., Zhao, C., Zhao, C., Lu, R., Lei, H. and Yao, M. (2024). Application of ETAS model integrating regional stress evolution to reservoir earthquakes, StatSei13, Southern University of Science and Technology (SUSTech) Convention Center, Shenzhen, China, 17 March 2024. (Oral)
  • Si, Z.*, Zhuang, J., Gentili, S., Jiang, C. and Wang, W. (2024). Bayesian merging of earthquake magnitudes determined by multiple seismic networks, StatSei13, Southern University of Science and Technology (SUSTech) Convention Center, Shenzhen, China, 20 March 2024. (Oral)
  • Piao, J.*, Zhuang, J. and Zhou, S. (2024). On the spatial response kernel in the ETAS models, StatSei13, Southern University of Science and Technology (SUSTech) Convention Center, Shenzhen, China, 17-20 March 2024. (Poster)
  • Li, Y.*, Zhuang, J. and Chen, S. (2024). A Three-Dimensional spherical Epidemic-Type Aftershock Sequence (3D-SETAS) model, StatSei13, Southern University of Science and Technology (SUSTech) Convention Center, Shenzhen, China, 17-20 March 2024. (Poster)
  • Liu, Y.*, Zhuang, J., Guo, Y., Jiang, C., Tian, Q., Zhang, Y. and Long, F. (2024). Background and clustering characteristics of recent seismicity in Southwestern China, StatSei13, Southern University of Science and Technology (SUSTech) Convention Center, Shenzhen, China, 17-20 March 2024. (Poster)
  • Gentili, S.*, Brondi, P., Chiappetta, G.D., Petrillo, G., Zhuang J. and Di Giovambattista, R. (2024). Application of the NESTORE algorithm for aftershock forecasting in Italy, Slovenia, California, Greece, and initial findings in Japan, StatSei13, Southern University of Science and Technology (SUSTech) Convention Center, Shenzhen, China, 17-20 March 2024. (Poster)
  • Niu, Y.* and Zhuang, J. (2024). Bayesian nonparametric inference for the Epidemic Type Aftershock Sequence (ETAS) model, StatSei13, Southern University of Science and Technology (SUSTech) Convention Center, Shenzhen, China, 17-20 March 2024. (Poster)

11-15 December 2023; AGU Annual Meeting 2023, Moscone Center (San Francisco, CA).

  • Zhuang, J. (2023). Statistical Seismology Expanded: Observation, Modeling, Testing, and Forecasting I-IV (Poster and Oral sessions), AGU Annual Meeting 2023, Moscone Center (San Francisco, CA), 14-15 December 2023. (Primary Convener)
  • Zhuang, J.* and Xiong, Z. (2023). Changes of global background and clustering seismicity during past twenty years, AGU Annual Meeting 2023, Moscone Center (San Francisco, CA), 14 December 2023. (Poster)
  • Petrillo, G.* and Zhuang, J. (2023). Unveiling the Enigma of Earthquake Triggering: Debunking Magnitude Correlation Debates, AGU Annual Meeting 2023, Moscone Center (San Francisco, CA), 15 December 2023. (Oral)
  • Hainzl, S.*, Kumazawa, T. and Ogata, Y. (2023). Aftershock forecasts based on incomplete earthquake catalogs: ETASI model application to the 2023 SE Türkiye earthquake sequence, AGU Annual Meeting 2023, Moscone Center (San Francisco, CA), 14 December 2023. (Poster)
  • Kato, A.*, Shiomi, K., Yamamoto, Y. and Nakagawa, S. (2023). Space-time evolution of the aftershocks following the 2023 Earthquake Sequence in Southern Turkiye, AGU Annual Meeting 2023, Moscone Center (San Francisco, CA), 14 December 2023. (Poster)
  • Minson, S.E.*, Wu, S., Yano, K., Cochran, E.S., Parker, G.A. and Baltay, A. (2023). Towards Estimating Seismic Hazard Across an Area, AGU Annual Meeting 2023, Moscone Center (San Francisco, CA), 14 December 2023. (Oral)
  • Yamada, M.*, Tamaribuchi, K., Wu, S. and Chen D.Y. (2023). IPFx: extended integrated particle filter method for earthquake early warning and application to the international networks, AGU Annual Meeting 2023, Moscone Center (San Francisco, CA), 12 December 2023. (Poster)
  • Peng, H.*, Wu, S. and Yamada, M. (2023). Constructing an empirical envelope function of seismic waveforms for the evaluation of EEW in Japan, AGU Annual Meeting 2023, Moscone Center (San Francisco, CA), 12 December 2023. (Poster)
  • Nishikawa, T. (2023). Comparison of statistical seismicity models of low-frequency earthquakes (LFEs) and its implications for the mechanisms governing LFE activity, AGU Annual Meeting 2023, Moscone Center (San Francisco, CA), 12 December 2023. (Invited)

15 November 2023; Applied Statistics Symposium 2023, Online

  • Nomura, S. (2023). Time series analysis using state space models, Applied Statistics Symposium 2023, Online, 15 November 2023. (Invited tutorial lecture)

31 October-2 November 2023; The 2023 SSJ fall meeting, Pacifico Yokohama (Yokohama city).

  • Zhuang, J.* and Xiong, Z. (2023). Detection of changes in global background and clustering seismicity, The 2023 SSJ fall meeting, Pacifico Yokohama (Yokohama city), 2 November 2023. (Oral)
  • Li, Y.*, Zhuang, J. and Chen, S. (2023). A hypocentral version of the spherical space-time ETAS model, The 2023 SSJ fall meeting, Pacifico Yokohama (Yokohama city), 2 November 2023. (Oral)
  • Ogata, Y.* and Kumazawa, T. (2023). Estimation of actual activity rate changes based on seismic catalogs with systematic missing measurements, The 2023 SSJ fall meeting, Pacifico Yokohama (Yokohama city), 2 November 2023. (Oral)
  • Yano, K.*，Takahashi, A. and Kano, M. (2023). Identifying crustal brocks using objective clustering of GNSS velocities via parallel translation and Euler vector, The 2023 SSJ fall meeting, Pacifico Yokohama (Yokohama city), 2 November 2023. (Oral)
  • Wu, S. (2023). [Invited]Potential pathway to understanding earthquakes using a data-driven approach: learning from other informatics applications, The 2023 SSJ fall meeting, Pacifico Yokohama (Yokohama city), 2 November 2023. (Oral)
  • Yamada, M. (2023). To what extent are multiple earthquakes separable?, The 2023 SSJ fall meeting, Pacifico Yokohama (Yokohama city), 1 November 2023. (Oral)
  • Iwata, T. (2023). Estimation of the temporal change of background stress based on the rate- and state-friction seismicity model, The 2023 SSJ fall meeting, Pacifico Yokohama (Yokohama city), 1 November 2023. (Poster)
  • Nanjo, K.*, Yamamoto, Y.,　Ariyoshi, K.,　Horikawa, H.,　Yada, S. and Takahashi, N. (2023). A study of earthquake detection capacity of DONET, The 2023 SSJ fall meeting, Pacifico Yokohama (Yokohama city), 1 November 2023. (Poster)
  • Nanjo, K.*, Yukutake, Y. and Kumazawa, T. (2023). Analysis of seismic activity off the coast of Ito, Shizuoka, The 2023 SSJ fall meeting, Pacifico Yokohama (Yokohama city), 2 November 2023. (Oral)
  • Kato, A. (2023). Immediate aftershocks following the 2023 M6.5 earthquake in the Noto Peninsula, central Japan: Implication of fault valve mode, The 2023 SSJ fall meeting, Pacifico Yokohama (Yokohama city), 31 October 2023. (Oral)
  • Nishikawa, T. (2023). Comparison of statistical seismicity models of low-frequency earthquakes (LFEs): Its implications for the mechanisms of the LFE activity, The 2023 SSJ fall meeting, Pacifico Yokohama (Yokohama city), 2 November 2023. (Oral)
  • Yoshimura, R.*, Nishikawa, T. and Nishimura, T. (2023). A preliminary attempt to develop an earthquake swarm detection method using the ETAS model and AIC, The 2023 SSJ fall meeting, Pacifico Yokohama (Yokohama city), 2 November 2023. (Oral)
  • Mitsui, Y. (2023). Estimation of the spatial distribution of the \"internal friction coefficient\" in the crust beneath the Japanese Islands, The 2023 SSJ fall meeting, Pacifico Yokohama (Yokohama city), 1 November 2023. (Oral)
  • Arai, R.* and Mitsui, Y. (2023). Numerical experiment on template matching and relative strength index based on noise analysis of high-rate GNSS data, The 2023 SSJ fall meeting, Pacifico Yokohama (Yokohama city), 31 October 2023. (Oral)
  • Kikuchi, Y.*, Mitsui, Y. and Kano, M. (2023). Attempt to comprehensive detecting intermediate-term slow slip events in the shallow part of the Suruga Trough, The 2023 SSJ fall meeting, Pacifico Yokohama (Yokohama city), 31 October 2023. (Poster)
  • Shibata, R.* and Aso, N. (2023). The characteristic of the rupture propagation of the crustal earthquakes in Japan, The 2023 SSJ fall meeting, Pacifico Yokohama (Yokohama city), 31 October 2023. (Poster)
  • Ueda, T.* and Nishimura, T. (2023). Shear strain energy change estimated by the current crustal deformation in Japan and spatial correlation with the crustal seismicity, The 2023 SSJ fall meeting, Pacifico Yokohama (Yokohama city), 2 November 2023. (Oral)
  • Kumazawa, T.* and Ogata, Y. (2023). Space-time changes of the Noto Peninsula Earthquake by the Point Process Models, The 2023 SSJ fall meeting, Pacifico Yokohama (Yokohama city), 2 November 2023. (Oral)
  • Petrillo, G.* and Zhuang, J. (2023). No Evidence of Magnitude Dependence in Earthquake Triggering, The 2023 SSJ fall meeting, Pacifico Yokohama (Yokohama city), 1 November 2023. (Oral)
  • Tamaribuchi, K. (2023). [Invited]Improvement of earthquake early warning and detection of characteristic seismicity based on identification of simultaneous earthquakes, The 2023 SSJ fall meeting, Pacifico Yokohama (Yokohama city), 31 October 2023. (Oral)
  • Tamaribuchi, K.*, Kimura, H., Hirose, F. and Yamamoto, T. (2023). Relationship between inland seismicity and crustal deformation after the 2011 Tohoku earthquake, The 2023 SSJ fall meeting, Pacifico Yokohama (Yokohama city), 1 November 2023. (Poster)
  • Noguchi, K.*, Tamaribuchi, K., Hayashimoto, N. and Kodera, Y. (2023). Integration of multiple hypocenter determination methods for Earthquake Early Warning into the IPF method, The 2023 SSJ fall meeting, Pacifico Yokohama (Yokohama city), 1 November 2023. (Oral)
  • Peng, H.*, Wu, S. and Yamada, M. (2023). Constructing an empirical envelope function of seismic waveforms for the evaluation of EEW in Japan, The 2023 SSJ fall meeting, Pacifico Yokohama (Yokohama city), 1 November 2023. (Oral)
  • Matsu'ura, R.* and Ishibe, T. (2023). The present status of the seismicity off the southeast coast of Hokkaido, where the relative quiescence started more than a decade ago, The 2023 SSJ fall meeting, Pacifico Yokohama (Yokohama city), 2 November 2023. (Oral)

11-13 October 2023; 140th Meeting of the Geodetic Society of Japan, Sendai City Welfare Plaza (Hybrid)

  • Yano, K., Takahashi, A. and Kano, M. (2023). Identification of crustal blocks by clustering GNSS velocity vectors based on parallel shift and Euler vector estimation, 140th Meeting of the Geodetic Society of Japan, Sendai City Welfare Plaza (Hybrid), 12 October 2023. (Oral)
  • Mitsui, Y. and Arai, R. (2023). Noise in various high-rate GNSS data in the period before the 2011 Tohoku earthquake, 140th Meeting of the Geodetic Society of Japan, Sendai City Welfare Plaza (Hybrid), 11-13 October 2023. (Poster)
  • Ueda, T. and Nishimura, T. (2023). Spatial correlation between changes in shear strain energy and intracrustal seismic activity in Japan inferred from current crustal deformation, 140th Meeting of the Geodetic Society of Japan, Sendai City Welfare Plaza (Hybrid), 12 October 2023. (Oral)

3-7 September 2023; Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2023, Kyoto University

  • Zhuang, J. (2023). Filtering of renewal Hawkes processes and related statistical inference, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2023, Kyoto University, 6 September 2023. (Oral)
  • Ogata, Y. (2023). Long-term probability prediction of strong earthquakes in inland Japan, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2023, Kyoto University, 6 September 2023. (Oral)
  • Yano, K.* and Takahata, T. (2023). On divergences between spectral densities: a new aspect from divergences between probability densities, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2023, Kyoto University, 5 September 2023. (Oral)
  • Okudo, M.* and Yano, K. (2023). Application of Bayes extension estimator to nonlinear Regression and Generalized Linear models, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2023, Kyoto University, 7 September 2023. (Oral)
  • Minami, M., Kawasaki, Y., Kawasaki, T., Matsui, T., Hashimoto, R., Wu, S. and Hirose, K. (2023). Panel discussion on the current state of diversity in academic societies, universities and government agencies and future efforts to promote diversity, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2023, Kyoto University, 6 September 2023. (Organized Session)
  • Nishikawa, T.* and Nishimura, T. (2023). Development of a statistical seismicity model incorporating slow-earthquake activity: Application to the Hikurangi subduction zone, New Zealand, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2023, Kyoto University, 6 September 2023. (Organized Session)
  • Kumazawa, T.* and Ogata, Y. (2023). Statistical Characteristics of Spatiotemporal Transitions of Noto Peninsula Earthquake Swarms, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2023, Kyoto University, 4 September 2023. (Oral)
  • Kano, M.*, Yano, K., Tanaka, Y., Nakagawa, R. and Fukushima, R. (2023). Innovations in geodetic data analysis to realize a data-assimilation-based fault slip monitoring system, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2023, Kyoto University, 6 September 2023. (Organized Session)
  • Mitsui, Y. (2023). Stress Conditions beneath the Japanese Archipelago Probed by Background and Aftershock Seismicity, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2023, Kyoto University, 6 September 2023. (Organized Session)
  • Tanikawa, S.*, Nomura, S.and Sano, S. (2023). Statistical analysis of car accidents by prefecture during the COVID-19 pandemic, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2023, Kyoto University, 6 September 2023. (Organized Session)
  • Niu, Y.* and Zhuang, J. (2023). A Bayesian non-parametric method of estimating the background intensity of ETAS model, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2023, Kyoto University, 6 September 2023. (Oral)

7-10 June 2023; 10th International Workshop on Applied Probability (IWAP 2023), Porto Palace Hotel, Thessaloniki, Greece.

  • Zhuang, J. (2023). On extending the ETAS model, 10th International Workshop on Applied Probability (IWAP 2023), Porto Palace Hotel, Thessaloniki, Greece, 8 June 2023. (Invited)
  • Niu, Y. (2023).Second-order smoothness prior over the Delaunay Tessellation in Bayesian geophysical inversion, 10th International Workshop on Applied Probability (IWAP 2023), Porto Palace Hotel, Thessaloniki, Greece, 9 June 2023. (Oral)

24-25 May 2023; the 7th International Workshop on Earthquake Preparation Process: Observation, Validation, Modeling, Forecasting (IWEP7), Chiba University, Chiba, Japan.

  • Zhuang, J. (2023). Evaluating earthquake forecasting models with likelihood based marginal and conditional scores, the 7th International Workshop on Earthquake Preparation Process: Observation, Validation, Modeling, Forecasting (IWEP7), Chiba University, 24 May 2023. (Invited)

25 May 2023; ISTerre seminar, Institut des Sciences de la Terre (ISTerre) Grenoble, France (Hybrid).

  • Petrillo, G. (2023). Including stress relaxation in point-process model for seismic occurrence, ISTerre seminar, ISTerre Grenoble, France (Hybrid), 25 May 2023. (Oral)

21-26 May 2023; Japan Geoscience Union (JpGU) Meeting 2023 (JpGU2023), MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba (Hybrid Meeting).

  • Zhuang, J. (2023). Evaluating earthquake forecasting models with likelihood based marginal and conditional scores, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2023 (JpGU2023), MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba (Hybrid Meeting), 23 May 2023. (Oral)
  • Ogata, Y. (2023). Diverse characteristics of seismic activity in　comparison with spatio-temporal ETAS forecasts, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2023 (JpGU2023), MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba (Hybrid Meeting), 22 May 2023. (Oral)
  • Yano, K.* and Sei, T. (2023). Minimum information dependence modeling for analyzing the dependence in mixed-domain data: Application to the analysis of the dependence between source depths and focal mechanisms, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2023 (JpGU2023), MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba (Hybrid Meeting), 22 May 2023. (Poster)
  • Yamada, M.* and Xiao, Y. (2023). Application of the Earthquake Early Warning Method to the 2023 Turkey–Syria Earthquake, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2023 (JpGU2023), MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba (Hybrid Meeting), 23 May 2023. (Oral)
  • Iwata, T. (2023). Modification of an approach to estimating a spatial stress pattern to improve spatial resolution, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2023 (JpGU2023), MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba (Hybrid Meeting), 25 May 2023. (Poster)
  • Nanjo, K.*, Izutsu, J., Kamogawa, M., Hori, T. and Oike, K. (2023). Spatial variability of the response of the Nagano seismicity to the 2011 Tohoku-oki earthquake, in Japan, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2023 (JpGU2023), MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba (Hybrid Meeting), 22 May 2023. (Oral)
  • Nanjo, K.*, Ariyoshi, K., Yamamoto, Y., Horikawa, H., Yada, S. and Takahashi, N. (2023). Preliminary analysis of earthquake detection probabilities and completeness levels for the Dense Oceanfloor Network system for Earthquakes and Tsunamis (DONET), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2023 (JpGU2023), MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba (Hybrid Meeting), 23 May 2023. (Poster)
  • Nanjo, K. (2023). A demonstration experiment to evaluate online seismicity, using the Hierarchical Space-Time ETAS (HIST-ETAS) model: A preliminary report, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2023 (JpGU2023), MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba (Hybrid Meeting), 23 May 2023. (Poster)
  • Nanjo, K.*, Yukutake, Y. and Kumazawa, T. (2023). A preliminary analysis of seismic activity off the coast of Ito, Shizuoka, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2023 (JpGU2023), MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba (Hybrid Meeting), 26 May 2023. (Oral)
  • Kato, A.*, Nakagawa, S., Fujita, K., Ichimura, T. and Nagao, H. (2023). A comprehensive earthquake catalog for the 2020 seismic swarm in the central Japan, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2023 (JpGU2023), MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba (Hybrid Meeting), 25 May 2023. (Oral)
  • Nishikawa, T. (2023). Comparison and improvement of statistical models for activity of low-frequency earthquakes, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2023 (JpGU2023), MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba (Hybrid Meeting), 24 May 2023. (Oral)
  • Kumazawa, T.* and Ogata, Y. (2023). Statistical Characteristics of Spatiotemporal Transitions of Noto Peninsula Earthquake Swarms, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2023 (JpGU2023), MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba (Hybrid Meeting), 23 May 2023. (Poster)
  • Xiong, Z.* and Zhuang, J. (2023). Global background earthquakes have shown a steady trend over the past twenty years, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2023 (JpGU2023), MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba (Hybrid Meeting), 22 May 2023. (Oral)
  • Mitsui, Y.*, Oba, S., Naoi, M. and Yamada, T. (2023). Area-Displacement (A-D) relationship for earthquake, slow slip, and laboratory stick-slip, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2023 (JpGU2023), MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba (Hybrid Meeting), 22 May 2023. (Poster)
  • Aso, N.*, Aso, M., Shelly, D. and Ide, S. (2023). Deep Mechanics along the San Andreas Fault through Focal Mechanisms of Low-Frequency Earthquakes near Parkfield, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2023 (JpGU2023), MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba (Hybrid Meeting), 24 May 2023. (Oral)
  • Ueda, T.* and Nishimura, T. (2023). The relationship between background seismicity rate and strain rate in and around the strain concentration zones in Japan, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2023 (JpGU2023), MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba (Hybrid Meeting), 23 May 2023. (Poster)
  • Kano, M.*, Tanaka, Y., Iinuma, T. and Hori, T. (2023). Data assimilation for reproducing and predicting the fault slip behavior in the 2010 Bungo Channel long-term slow slip event, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2023 (JpGU2023), MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba (Hybrid Meeting), 26 May 2023. (Poster)
  • Peng, H.*, Wu, S. and Yamada, M. (2023). Constructing an empirical envelope function of seismic waveforms for the evaluation of EEW in Japan, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2023 (JpGU2023), MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba (Hybrid Meeting), 24 May 2023. (Poster)
  • Niu, Y.* and Zhuang, J. (2023). Second-order smoothness prior over the Delaunay Tessellation and its application to gravity Bayesian inversion, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2023 (JpGU2023), MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba (Hybrid Meeting), 24 May 2023. (Oral)

23-28 April 2023; European Geoscience Union(EGU) General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria.

  • Petrillo, G.*, Zhuang, J., and Lippiello, E. (2023). Is the stress relaxation relevant for long term forecasting?, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 26 April 2023, EGU23-1035, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-1035, 2023. (Oral)
  • Nanjo, K.*, Yukutake, Y. and Kumazawa, T. (2023). Volcanism of Mount Fuji activated by the 2011 Japanese large earthquakes, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 27 April 2023, EGU23-2186, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-2186, 2023. (Virtual poster)

FY2022

13-14 March 2023; Slow-to-Fast Earthquake Workshop in Taiwan, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan.

  • Yano, K. (2023). Recent advances of data science techniques in seismology, Slow-to-Fast Earthquake Workshop in Taiwan, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan, 14 March 2023. (Invited Lecture)

28 February 2023; The 238th Meeting of the Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geospatial Information Authority of Japan Kanto Regional Survey Division, Kudanshita, Tokyo (Hybrid).

  • Ogata, Y. and Kumazawa, T. (2023). Earthquakes in Turkey on February 6, 2023 (UTC), The 238th Meeting of the Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geospatial Information Authority of Japan Kanto Regional Survey Division, Kudanshita, Tokyo (Hybrid), 28 February 2023. (Oral)
  • Ogata, Y. (2023). Prediction of crustal activity(1) - short-term probabilistic prediction and evaluation of crustal earthquakes, The 238th Meeting of the Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geospatial Information Authority of Japan Kanto Regional Survey Division, Kudanshita, Tokyo (Hybrid), 28 February 2023. (Oral)
  • Yano, K. (2023). Development of seismic and geodetic event detection methods using multiple observation stations by artificial intelligence, The 238th Meeting of the Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geospatial Information Authority of Japan Kanto Regional Survey Division, Kudanshita, Tokyo (Hybrid), 28 February 2023. (Invited Lecture)

3 February 2023; Research Meeting in FY2022: Crustal Activity Monitoring Based on the Understanding of Recurrence Characteristics of Repeated Earthquakes, Online.

  • Nomura, S. (2023). Short-term prediction of repeating earthquakes considering trends in interplate aseismic slip velocities, Research Meeting in FY2022: Crustal Activity Monitoring Based on the Understanding of Recurrence Characteristics of Repeated Earthquakes, 3 February 2023. (Online)
  • Ogata, Y. (2023). Background seismic activity and repeating earthquakes, etc., Research Meeting in FY2022: Crustal Activity Monitoring Based on the Understanding of Recurrence Characteristics of Repeated Earthquakes, 3 February 2023. (Online)

11-12 January 2023; Workshop on「地震動をはじめとする地球科学データの即時解析・即時予測・情報利活用」Earthquake Research Institute, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo.

  • Yamada, M. and Chen, D.-Y. (2022). 台湾の緊急地震速報システムとIPFx法の適用, Workshop on「地震動をはじめとする地球科学データの即時解析・即時予測・情報利活用」Earthquake Research Institute, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, 11-12 January 2023.
  • Peng, H., Wu, S. and Yamada, M. (2022). IPFx法改良のための地震波形の経験的エンベロープ関数の構築, Workshop on「地震動をはじめとする地球科学データの即時解析・即時予測・情報利活用」Earthquake Research Institute, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, 11-12 January 2023.
  • Yano, K., Yamada, M., Tamaribuchi, K. Wu, S. and Iba, Y.(2022). 緊急地震速報における観測点選択, Workshop on「地震動をはじめとする地球科学データの即時解析・即時予測・情報利活用」Earthquake Research Institute, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, 11-12 January 2023.
  • Xiao, Y. and Yamada, M. (2022). XY tracker : a new approach to estimate fault rupture extent in real time for large earthquakes, Workshop on「地震動をはじめとする地球科学データの即時解析・即時予測・情報利活用」Earthquake Research Institute, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, 11-12 January 2023.

18 December 2022; The 13th Oukan conferences, Waseda University International Conference Center.

  • Iwata, T. (2022). ETASモデル：クラスター性を表すための点過程モデル, The 13th Oukan conferences, Waseda University International Conference Center, 18 December 2022.

2 December 2022; Statistics Across Campuses Seminar, UNSW Sydney, Australia (Hybrid).

28 November 2022; Discussion meeting @ Shizuoka Local Meteorological Office.

  • Nanjo, K.Z. (2022). 静岡県立大学グローバル地域センター自然災害研究部門の業務活動と研究活動の一例の紹介, Discussion meeting @ Shizuoka Local Meteorological Office, (Invited).

4-5 November 2022; JSPS Grant Aided Research Symposium on Theory and Methodology of Large-Scale Complex Data - New Developments and Applications to Related Fields, Epochal Tsukuba International Congress Center (Hybrid)

  • Yano, K.* and Sei, T. (2022). Minimum information dependence modeling for mixed domain data, JSPS Grant Aided Research Symposium on Theory and Methodology of Large-Scale Complex Data - New Developments and Applications to Related Fields, Epochal Tsukuba International Congress Center (Hybrid), 5 November 2022. (Oral)

24-26 October 2022; The 2022 SSJ fall meeting, Hokkaido Citizens Actives Center, Sapporo

  • Zhuang, J.* and Si, Z. (2022). Bayesian merging of earthquake catalogs from multiple sources, The 2022 SSJ fall meeting, 25 October 2022. (Oral)
  • Ogata, Y. (2022). Retrospective Monitoring of the Area Surrounding the Showa Nankai Trough Earthquakes, The 2022 SSJ fall meeting, 24 October 2022. (Oral)
  • Yano, K.* and Sei, T. (2022). Minimum information dependence modeling for analyzing the dependence in mixed-domain data: Application to the dependence analysis of focal mechanisms and depths, The 2022 SSJ fall meeting, 26 October 2022. (Poster)
  • Yamada M.* and Chen, D. (2022). Automatic Hypocenter Determination with the IPFx method for the 2018 Hualien earthquake sequence, The 2022 SSJ fall meeting, 26 October 2022. (Oral)
  • Nanjo, K.*, Yukitake, Y. and Kumazawa, T. (2022). Detection of low-frequency earthquakes at Mount Fuji and statistical analysis, The 2022 SSJ fall meeting, 26 October 2022. (Poster)
  • Kato, A.*, Tsuruoka, H., Shinohara, M., Emoto, K., Kimura, T., Okamura, K. and Kikuchi Y. (2022). Detection of Low-Frequency Earthquakes by Distributed Acoustic Sensing (DAS), The 2022 SSJ fall meeting, 24 October 2022. (Oral)
  • Nishikawa, T.*, Ide, S. and Nishimura, T. (2022). Slow Earthquakes in the Japan Trench, The 2022 SSJ fall meeting, 26 October 2022. (Poster)
  • Nomura, S.*, Uchida N. and Ogata, Y. (2022). Short-term Forecast of Repeating Earthquakes Considering Spatiotemporal Aseismic Slip Rate along Plate Boundary, The 2022 SSJ fall meeting, 25 October 2022. (Invited Lecture)
  • Kano, M.* and Ito, Y. (2022). Estimation of early postseismic slip following the 2003 Tokachi-oki earthquake by assimilating high-rate GNSS data, The 2022 SSJ fall meeting, 26 October 2022. (Poster)
  • Kumazawa, T.* and Ogata, Y. (2022). Analysis of the non-stationarity of the earthquake swarm activities in the Noto Peninsula, The 2022 SSJ fall meeting, 24 October 2022. (Oral)
  • Xiong, Z.* and Zhuang, J. (2022). The research and application of the spherical space-time ETAS model, The 2022 SSJ fall meeting, 24 October 2022. (Oral)
  • Petrillo, G.*, Zhuang, J. and Lippiello, E. (2022). Verification of Seismic Gap by means of physical and statistical models, The 2022 SSJ fall meeting, 25 October 2022. (Oral)
  • Tamaribuchi, K.* and Kudo, S. (2022). Detection of hidden earthquakes after the 2011 Tohoku earthquake using automatic hypocenter determination, The 2022 SSJ fall meeting, 25 October 2022. (Oral)
  • Kodera, Y. (2022). Estimation of wave propagation direction from seismic waveforms using a deep learning model, The 2022 SSJ fall meeting, 26 October 2022. (Poster)
  • Niu, Y.* and Zhuang, J. (2022). Second-order smoothness prior over the Delaunay Tessellation and its application to gravity Bayesian inversion, The 2022 SSJ fall meeting, 25 October 2022. (Oral)

17-21 October 2022; 12th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei12), Institut des Etudes Scientifiques de Cargèse, Corsica, France.

  • Zhuang, J. (2022). Evaluating earthquake forecasts with likelihood based marginal and conditional scores, StatSei12, IESC Corsica, France, 21 October 2022. (Oral)
  • Iwata, T. (2022). A size distribution of deep low-frequency tremors in the Nankai Trough zone: Modeling with a mixture distribution, StatSei12, IESC Corsica, France, 17-18 October 2022. (Poster)
  • Xiong, Z. (2022). The research on the spherical space-time ETAS model, StatSei12, IESC Corsica, France, 19-20 October 2022. (Poster)
  • Petrillo, G. (2022). Defining and testing the predictive efficacy of a realistic spring block model, StatSei12, IESC Corsica, France, 19-20 October 2022. (Poster)

5-7 Oct. 2022; 138th Meeting of the Geodetic Society of Japan, Kagoshima University Inamori Auditorium (Hybrid).

  • Nakagawa, R.*，Fukushima，Y., Kano, M., Yano, K. and Hirahara, K. (2022). GNSS データへの深層学習の適用による短期的SSEの断層すべり直接推定, 138th Meeting of the Geodetic Society of Japan, Kagoshima University Inamori Auditorium (Hybrid), 5 Oct. 2022. (Oral)
  • Kano, M. (2022). 測地データに基づく沈み込み帯における断層の摩擦特性とすべりの多様性に関する研究, 138th Meeting of the Geodetic Society of Japan, Kagoshima University Inamori Auditorium (Hybrid), 6 Oct. 2022. (The 30th Tsuboi Prize Memorial Lecture)

14 September 2022; International Joint Workshop on Slow-to-Fast Earthquakes 2022, Nara Kasugano International Forum I-RA-KA (Hybrid).

  • Nishikawa, T. (2022). Toward constructing a statistical model for slow earthquakes, International Joint Workshop on Slow-to-Fast Earthquakes 2022, Nara Kasugano International Forum I-RA-KA (Hybrid), 14 September 2022. (Poster)

11-14 September 2022; 2022 Southern California Earthquake Center (SCEC) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs (partially online).

  • Ogata, Y. (2022). Prediction and validation of short- to long-term earthquake probabilities in inland Japan using the hierarchical space-time ETAS and space-time Poisson process models, 2022 SCEC Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs (partially online), 11-14 September 2022. (Poster)

4-8 September 2022; Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2022, Hybrid Meeting.

  • Zhuang, J. (2022). Refining point-process models for seismicity: learning from residual analysis, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2022, Hybrid Meeting, 7 September 2022. (Organized Session, Invited Lecture)
  • Ogata, Y. (2022). A major earthquake has occurred! Real-time forecasting of subsequent earthquakes, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2022, Hybrid Meeting, 5 September 2022. (Oral)
  • Yano, K. (2022). Predictive density in high/infinite dimensional models, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2022, Hybrid Meeting, 6 September 2022. (Organized Session, Invited Lecture).
  • Sei, T.* and Yano, K. (2022). Minimum information dependence modeling for multi-domain data, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2022, Hybrid Meeting, 5 September 2022. (Oral)
  • Okuno, A.* and Yano, K. (2022). A generalization gap estimation for overparameterized models via the Langevin functional variance, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2022, Hybrid Meeting, 7 September 2022. (Oral)
  • Kurata, S.*, Yamanaka, Y., Yano, K., Komaki, F., Shiina, T. and Kato, A. (2022). 正則化による地震波速度推定精度の改善と構造変化の検出について, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2022, Hybrid Meeting, 5 September 2022. (Oral)
  • Kato, A. (2022). Data-driven discovery & monitoring of Slow-to-Fast earthquakes, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2022, Hybrid Meeting, 7 September 2022. (Organized Session, Invited Lecture)
  • Kumazawa, T.* and Ogata, Y. (2022). On statistical methods applied to recent earthquake swarms, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2022, Hybrid Meeting, 5 September 2022. (Oral)
  • Xiong, Z.* and Zhuang, J. (2022). A spherical version of the space-time ETAS model, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2022, Hybrid Meeting, 5 September 2022. (Oral)
  • Petrillo, G.* and Zhuang, J. (2022). Bayesian earthquake forecasts based on the ETAS model, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2022, Hybrid Meeting, 7 September 2022. (Oral)
  • Niu, Y.* and Zhuang, J. (2022). Second-order smoothness prior over the Delaunay Tessellation and application on gravity Bayesian inversion, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2022, Hybrid Meeting, 5 September 2022. (Oral)

31 August-2 September 2022; 2022 Earthquake Workshop, Jeju, Republic of Korea

  • Yamada, M. (2022) History of the Japanese Earthquake Early Warning System - lessons learned from failures - , 2022 Earthquake Workshop, Jeju, Republic of Korea, 31 August-2 September 2022. (Invited)

1-5 August 2022; AOGS2022 VIRTUAL, 19th Annual Meeting of Asia Oceania Geoscience Society (AOGS)

  • Zhuang, J. (2022). Stochastic Reconstruction: A Data-driven Method for Extending and Estimating Seismicity Clustering Models, AOGS2022 VIRTUAL, 19th Annual Meeting Asia Oceania Geosciences Society(AOGS), 2 August 2022. (Oral)
  • Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2022). Cluster-based Foreshock Discrimination Models for Flexible Prediction Schemes, AOGS2022 VIRTUAL, 19th Annual Meeting Asia Oceania Geosciences Society(AOGS), 2 August 2022. (Oral)

23 July 2022; SSJ Special Symposium "A Major Earthquake has occurred! What's next after the warning 'Be careful during about a week?' - Subsequent Earthquakes and Temporary Information", Online.

4-6 July 2022; Coarse-grained description for non-equilibrium systems and transport phenomena, CNR Main Conference Hall, Rome, Italy.

22 May-3 June 2022; Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2022, Hybrid (In-person and online) Meeting, Japan Geoscience Union (JpGU).

  • Zhuang, J. (2022). Refining the ETAS model: non-stationary background rate, hypocentral depth, source rupture geometry, and focal mechanism, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2022, Hybrid, 25 May 2022. (Oral)
  • Han, P.*, Chen, H., Zhuang, J. and Hattori K. (2022). Point-process modelling of earthquakes incorporating ULF seismo-magnetic anomalies, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2022, Hybrid, 22 May 2022. (Invited Papers)
  • Ogata, Y. (2022). Prediction and validation of short- to long-term earthquake probabilities in inland Japan using the hierarchical space-time ETAS and space-time Poisson process models, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2022, Hybrid, 25 May 2022. (Oral)
  • Shiomi, K., Omi, T., Ogata, Y. and Sawazaki, K. (2022) 5-year performance check for the real-time automatic system for aftershock forecasting, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2022, Online Poster, 2 June 2022. (Oral and Poster)
  • Yamada, M.*, 何 東政, Mori, J., Nishikawa, Y. and Yamamoto, M. (2022). Tsunami caused by the shock wave of the 2022 Tonga volcanic eruption, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2022, Hybrid, 26 May 2022. (Invited Papers)
  • Nanjo, K.* and Yukutake, Y. (2022). A study on detection of low-frequency earthquakes at Mt. Fuji and data quality evaluation, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2022, Hybrid, 2 June 2022. (Poster)
  • Kato, A.*, Tsuruoka, H., Shinohara, M., Emoto, K., Kimura, T., Okamura, K. and Kikuchi, Y. (2022). Probe into Slow & Fast Earthquakes by Distributed Acoustic Sensing (DAS), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2022, Hybrid, 27 May 2022. (Oral)
  • Ueda, T.* and Kato, A. (2022). Temporal and spatial variations in seismicity characteristics after the 2011 Tohoku-Oki earthquake estimated from HIST-ETAS model, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2022, Hybrid, 3 June 2022. (Poster)
  • Nishimura, T.*, Nishikawa, T., Sato, D., Hiramatsu, Y. and Sawada, A. (2022). Crustal deformation associated with the earthquake swarm in the Noto Peninsula, central Japan, observed by GNSS, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2022, Hybrid, 27 May 2022. (Oral)
  • Kano, M *, Ikeuchi, A., Nishimura, T., Miyazaki, S. and Matsushima, K. (2022). Potential of Megathrust Earthquakes along the Southern Ryukyu Trench Inferred from GNSS Data, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2022, Hybrid, 3 June 2022. (Poster)
  • Shiina, T.*, Kano, M. and Kato, A. (2022). An MCMC approach for determining earthquake hypocenters around a structural boundary and its application to　aftershocks of the 2004 Mid-Niigata Prefecture Earthquake, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2022, Hybrid, 22 May 2022. (Oral)
  • Kumazawa, T.* and Ogata, Y. (2022). Regional features revealed from the non-stationary ETAS model for earthquake swarm activity in Noto Peninsula, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2022, Hybrid, 25 May 2022. (Oral)
  • Xiong, Z.* and Zhuang, J. (2022). The research and application of the spherical spacetime ETAS model, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2022, Hybrid, 25 May 2022. (Oral)
  • Ide, S.* and Nomura, S. (2022). Preliminary forecasting model for tectonic tremor activity using a renewal process, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2022, Hybrid, 2 June 2022. (Poster)
  • Toyama, R.*, Kurata, S., Yano, K. and Komaki, F. (2022). Clustering of Earthquake Event Data Based on Space-Time Point Process Model Using Nonparametric Bayesian Method, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2022, Hybrid, 30 May 2022. (Poster)
  • Kurata, S.*, Yamanaka, Y., Yano, K., Komaki, F., Shiina, T. and Kato, A. (2022). On performance verification of seismic tomography using structural regularization, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2022, Hybrid, 30 May 2022. (Poster)
  • Tamaribuchi, K. (2022). Application of deep learning picker to automatically determined earthquakes around the 2011 Tohoku earthquake, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2022, Hybrid, 30 May 2022. (Poster)
  • Nagata, K.*, Tamaribuchi, K., Hirose, F. and Noda, A. (2022). Quantitative anomaly assessment method based on characteristics of “normal” seismic activity, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2022, Hybrid, 2 June 2022. (Poster)

23-27 May 2022; European Geoscience Union(EGU) General Assembly 2022, Austria Center Vienna(ACV)(Hybrid).

  • Taroni, M.*, Selva, J., Marzocchi, W. and Zhuang, J. (2022). Everything you always wanted to know about b-value* (*but were afraid to ask), European Geoscience Union(EGU) General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria & Online, 26 May 2022. (Oral)

FY2021

8 March 2022; Workshop on "Statistical Modeling and Physical Implications of Seismic Activity," Earthquake Research Institute, The University of Tokyo, Online.

  • Zhuang, J. (2022). Extensions of the spatiotemporal ETAS model and their applications, Workshop on "Statistical Modeling and Physical Implications of Seismic Activity," Earthquake Research Institute, The University of Tokyo, Online, 8 March 2022. (Oral)
    Nanjo, K. (2022). Seismic Activity Analysis of Natural Earthquakes, Workshop on "Statistical Modeling and Physical Implications of Seismic Activity," Earthquake Research Institute, The University of Tokyo, Online, 8 March 2022. (Oral)
  • Ogata, Y. (2022). Development of the ETAS model, Workshop on "Statistical Modeling and Physical Implications of Seismic Activity," Earthquake Research Institute, The University of Tokyo, Online, 8 March 2022. (Oral).

6-17 December 2021; 2021 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Online.

  • Zhuang, J. (2021). Long-term earthquake forecasts for the Italy and California regions based on the epidemic-type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model for short-term clustering, 2021 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Online, 14 December 2021. (Poster)
  • Maita, E. and Zhuang, J.* (2021). Extended ETAS model by incorporating focal mechanisms, 2021 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Online, 17 December 2021. (Poster)
  • Minson, S.E.*, Cochran, E.S., Wu, S., Saunders, J.K., Baltay, A, McBride, S.K., and Milner K. R. (2021). Shaking with a Chance of Warning, 2021 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Online, 14 December 2021. (Oral)
  • Kato, A. (2021). Hierarchical and structural complexities on the diffuse fault system associated with the 2000 Tottori earthquake revealed by a hyperdense seismic observation, 2021 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Online, 16 December 2021. (Oral)
  • Nanjo, K.* and Yukutake, Y. (2021). A preliminary study on low-frequency earthquakes at Mt. Fuji, Japan, using the matched filter method, 2021 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union, 2021 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Online, 14 December 2021. (Poster)
  • Xiong, Z.* and Zhuang, J. (2021). The research of spherical time-space ETAS model, 2021 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Online, 17 December 2021. (Poster)

14-16 October 2021; 2021 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan (SSJ), Online.

  • Zhuang, J. (2021). Long-term probability earthquake forecasts based on the ETAS model, 2021 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Online, 14 October 2021. (Oral)
  • Yano, K.* and Kano, M. (2021). l1 trend filtering based detection of short-term slow slip events from a GNSS array in southwest Japan, 2021 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Online, 14 October 2021. (Oral)
  • Kurata, S.*, Yamanaka, Y., Yano, K., Komaki, F., Shiina, T. and Kato, A. (2021). An earthquake tomography method for detecting of velocity discontinuities via structured regularization, 2021 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Online, 14 October 2021. (Oral)
  • Wu, S. (2021). A Bayesian framework for Earthquake Early Warning, 2021 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Online, 14 October 2021. (Invited Lecture)
  • Kato, A.*, Takeo, A. and Obara, K. (2021). Rapid tremor migration revealed by a dense seismic array in the western Shikoku, Japan, 2021 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Online, 15 October 2021. (Oral)
  • Shiina, T.*, Kano, M., Kurata, S. and Kato, A. (2021). Estimation of depth-dependent variations in seismic velocity in the source area of the 2004 Mid-Niigata prefecture earthquake based on the MCMC approach, 2021 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Online, 14 October 2021. (Poster)
  • Kurihara, R.*, Kato, A., Kurata, S. and Nagao, H. (2021). Detection of deep low-frequency earthquakes by matched filter technique using the product of mutual information and correlation coefficient, 2021 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Online, 14 October 2021. (Oral)
  • Ueda, T.*, Kato, A., Johnson, C.W. and Terakawa, T. (2021). Seasonal variations in crustal seismicity and surface load estimated from GNSS displacement, 2021 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Online, 14 October 2021. (Oral)
  • Ishise, M.*, Kato, A., Sakai, S., Nakagawa, S. and Hirata, N. (2021). A New PHS slab Model beneath the Tokyo Metropolitan Area Based on 3-D P-wave, 2021 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Online, 14 October 2021. (Oral)
  • Motokoshi, T.*, Matsumoto, S., Iio, Y., Sakai, S. and Kato, A. (2021). Estimation of characteristics of the epicenter of double-couple earthquake and Non-double-couple earthquake in the focal area of the 2000 Western Tottori earthquake, 2021 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Online, 16 October 2021. (Oral)
  • Doi, I.*, Maeda, T., Kato, A., Takeda, T. and Murao, H. (2021). To what extent can stationary seismic observation network detect small landslides using short-period seismic waves?, 2021 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Online, 15 October 2021. (Oral)
  • Matsumoto, S.*, Mitsuoka, A., Iio, Y., Sakai, S. and Kato, A. (2021). Evaluating the crustal strength based on seismic moment tensor ratios, 2021 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Online, 14 October 2021. (Oral)
  • Iwata, T.* and Hiramatsu, Y. (2021). Event size distribution of deep low-frequency tremors in the Nankai Trough modelled with a mixture distribution, 2021 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Online, 14 October 2021. (Oral)
  • Nanjo, K.*, Izutsu, J., Orihara, Y. and Kamogawa, M. (2021). Seismicity pattern before and after the 2016 Kumamoto earthquakes, 2021 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Online, 14 October 2021. (Poster)
  • Nanjo, K.* and Yukutake, Y. (2021). A preliminary study on low-frequency earthquakes below Mt. Fuji: Creation of an earthquake catalog using the Matched Filter method and quality evaluation of the catalog, 2021 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Online, 14 October 2021. (Poster)
  • Xiong, Z.* and Zhuang, J. (2021). The research of spherical time-space ETAS model, 2021 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Online, 14 October 2021. (Oral)
  • Ogata, Y.* and Katsura, K. (2021). Modified estimation of the HIST-ETAS model for earthquake catalogs possessing long- and short-term incomplete data, 2021 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Online, 15 October 2021. (Oral)
  • Terakawa, T.* and Matsu’ura, M. (2021). Three-dimensional tectonic stress field inferred from long-term data of seismicity with prior information, 2021 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Online, 14 October 2021. (Poster)
  • Nishikawa, T.*, and Nishimura, T. (2021). Development of an ETAS model that explicitly incorporates the triggering effect of slow slip events on seismicity, 2021 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Online, 14 October 2021. (Oral)
  • Kano, M.*, Miyazaki, S., Ishikawa, Y. and Hirahara, K. (2021). Adjoint-based direct data assimilation of GNSS time series for understanding the current state of postseismic deformation and its short-term prediction following the 2003 Tokachi-oki earthquake, 2021 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Online, 14 October 2021. (Poster)
  • Kumazawa, T.* and Ogata, Y. (2021). Characteristics of earthquake swarm activity in central Nagano prefecture as seen from the time variation of background seismic activity estimated by the point process model, 2021 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Online, 14 October 2021. (Oral)

12-17 September 2021; 2021 Southern California Earthquake Center (SCEC) Annual Meeting, Online.

  • Ogata, Y.*, Katsura, K. (2021). Modified estimation and forecasting of the hierarchical space-time ETAS (HIST-ETAS) model for earthquake catalogs in a wide area possessing long- and short-term incompleteness, 2021 SCEC Annual Meeting, Online, 12-17 September 2021. (Poster)

5-9 September 2021; Japanese Joint Statistical (JJS) Meeting 2021, Online.

    • Zhuang, J. (2021). A filtering formula for the renewal Hawkes process, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2021: Onlin, 8 September 2021. (Oral)
    • Yano, K. and Iba, Y. (2021). Information criterion for predictive evaluation based on quasi- posterior distribution, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2021: Online Meeting, 8 September 2021. (Oral)
    • Sei, T.* and Yano, K. (2021). Minimum Information Copula Model and its Extensions, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2021: Online Meeting, 8 September 2021. (Oral)
    • Okuno, A.* and Yano, K. (2021). Dependence of variance on covariate design in nonparametric link regression, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2021: Online Meeting, 8 September 2021. (Oral)
    • Kurata, S.*, Yamanaka, Y., Yano, K., Komaki, F., Shiina, T. and Kato, A. (2021). Seismic tomography based on sparse regularization for detection of seismic velocity discontinuities, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2021, Online Meeting, 9 September 2021. (Oral)
    • Nomura, S.* and Tanaka, M. (2021). Nonstationary renewal process for repeating earthquakes under aftershock triggering effects, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2021: Online, 6 September 2021. (Oral)
    • Xiong, Z.*, Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2021). A study on the spherical space-time ETAS model, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2021: Online, 8 September 2021. (Oral)
    • Ogata, Y.* and Katsura, K. (2021). Spatio-temporal estimation of long-term evolution of the detection rates in addition to local missing rates of earthquakes immediately after major earthquakes in the JMA earthquake hypocenter catalog, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2021: Online, 7 September 2021. (Oral)