Seismology TowArd Research innovation with data of Earthquake Project (STAR-E Project)「New developments in space-time earthquake forecasting and monitoring: from long-term to real-time」

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Dec. 27, 2024 NEW
The 4th STAR-E Study Session / ISM-STAR-E Research Meeting for 2024 will be held. Click the link for the details of program.
Dec. 12, 2024 NEW
The ETAS model has been registered as a 'Value-creating Supreme Treasure' of the Transdisciplinary Federation of Science and Technology. (19 October 2023)
Nov. 25, 2024 NEW
Yosihiko Ogata (Project Professor, Professor Emeritus, ISM) gave an online lecture (Title: Development of ETAS models: before its birth to today) at the "Scientific Seminars by renowned international experts - INGV 25th Anniversary" organised by the Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV). →see YouTube Video (for Lecture and questions)
Nov. 05, 2024
Professor David Vere-Jones passed away on 31 October 2024. He was a pioneer in the theory and application of statistical seismology, especially in the integration of stochastic point processes with traditional descriptive statistical seismology, and made a significant contribution to the formation of our research group, having been always encouragement to our research. He also wrote a groundbreaking book on point processes, and played an important role in the global community of statistical seismology. We express our deepest condolences here.
Oct. 31, 2024
At the 99th Statistical Seismology Seminar, Dr. Hsieh, Ming-Che (謝 銘哲)(Earthquake Disaster & Risk Evaluation and Management Center (E-DREaM), National Central University, Taoyuan, Taiwan / Visiting Researcher of ISM) and Dr.  Petrillo, Giuseppe (NTU, Singapore / Visiting Researcher of ISM)will give a talk (@ISM 4F Lounge and Online 13:30-15:30). For more information, click here.
Oct. 31, 2024
Yuta Mitsui (Associate Professor, Department of Geosciences, Shizuoka University) received the 32nd Tsuboi Prize of the Geodetic Society of Japan Award for Research.
Oct. 04, 2024
Yuanyuan Niu (Project Researcher, ISM) has joined our team.
Oct. 01, 2024
At the 98th Statistical Seismology Seminar, Dr. Clements, Timothy  (U.S. Geological Survey’s Earthquake Science Center in Moffett Field, CA, USA・ Postdoctoral fellow) , Dr. Wu, Stephen, Mr. Zhan, Chengxiang and Prof. Zhuang, Jiancang gave talks (@Room D312B (Seminar Room), Institute of Statistical Mathematics & Online 14:30-17:00). For more information, click here.
Aug. 27, 2024
The Institute of Statistical Mathematics Joint Research Meeting “Statistical Thinking in Science” was held at the Institute of Statistical Mathematics and Zoom for two days on August 27 and 28. (Faculty member in charge: Keisuke Yano)
Aug. 26, 2024
At the 97th Statistical Seismology Seminar, Dr. Yicun Guo (郭 一村, Assisstant Professor at Univerisity of Chinese Academy of Sciences) gave a talk (@ISM 4F Lounge and Online 15:00-16:00). For more information, click here.
Aug. 05, 2024
At the 96th Statistical Seismology Seminar, Dr. Xinglin Lei (雷 興林, Senior Researcher at the National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology, AIST)  gave a talk (@ISM 4F Lounge and Online 15:00-16:00). For more information, click here.
Jun. 17, 2024
The paper by Tomoaki Nishikawa <T. Nishikawa, A. Ide, and T. Nishimura: A Review on Slow Earthquakes in the Japan Trench> was awarded the PEPS Most Downloaded for 2021-2023.
Jun. 10, 2024
At the 95th Statistical Seismology Seminar, Dr. Gerstenberger, Matt (Seismologist/NSHM Lead, GNS Science, New Zealand)  gave a talk (@ISM 4F Lounge and Online 16:00-17:00). For more information, click here.
May. 20, 2024
Yosihiko Ogata, Project Researcher (Professor Emeritus), has been highly ranked by ScholarGPS (Meta Analytics) as the world's top expert in the following specialties (Seismicity #5; Statistical model #9; Earthquakes #40).
Apr. 16, 2024
At the 94th Statistical Seismology Seminar, Dr. Koh, Jonathan (Post-doctoral researcher, Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research(OCCR), University of Bern, Switzerland) gave a talk (@ISM 4F Lounge and Online 16:00-17:00). For more information, click here.
Mar. 19, 2024
Tomoaki Nishikawa (Assistant Professor @ Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University) received the Young Scientist Award and the Best Paper Award from the Seismological Society of Japan. For more details (in Japanese), click here.
Mar. 17, 2024
The 13th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (Statsei13)  was held on March 16-20, 2024 at Southern University of Science and Technology (SUSTech) Convention Center, Shenzhen, China. See ISM-STAR-E members' presentations here.
Jan. 30, 2024
At the 93rd Statistical Seismology Seminar, Dr. Ueda, Taku (JSPS Research Fellowship for Young Scientists of Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University /Visiting Researcher of ISM) gave a talk (Online 16:00-17:00). For more information, click here.
Nov. 30, 2023
Kazuyoshi Nanjo (Project Professor, Shizuoka Prefectural University), Takao Kumazawa (Project Associate Professor, ISM) and Yoshihiko Ogata (Project Researcher and Professor Emeritus, ISM) gave an invited lecture on Seismic Activity off Hokkaido and Tohoku Coast and Noto Peninsula Earthquake Swarm at the 241st meeting of the Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction. Click here for details → [Press Release] Latest Findings on Active Seismic Activity off Hokkaido and Tohoku Coast and Noto Peninsula (in Japanese)
Nov. 07, 2023
The 92th Statistical Seismology seminar, workshops on the Research Progress of Star-E and Italian-Japanese Joint Projects was held on Nov. 7, 10:00-12:00, 14:00-16:30; in the 4F lounge in ISM, also zoom, hybrid.
For more information, click here.
Oct. 03, 2023
At the 91st Statistical Seismology Seminar, Prof. Guan, Yongtao (Department of Management Science, School of Business Administration, University of Miami) gave a talk (Online 16:00-17:00). For more information, click here.
Sep. 20, 2023
Masumi Yamada (Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University) gave a lecture at the Seismology Summer School 2023 organised by the Seismological Society of Japan. Click here for more information (SSJ site in Japanese).
Sep. 08, 2023
Matsu'ura, S Ritsuko (Senior Fellow, Association for the Development of Earthquake Prediction) appeared on "NHK History Detective - What to do about Ieyasu vs. Hideyoshi" program, showing the seismic intensity distribution of the Tensho Earthquake and explaining why Hideyoshi had no choice but to compromise with Tokugawa.
Aug. 29, 2023
At the 90th Statistical Seismology Seminar, Dr. Hsieh, Ming-Che (謝 銘哲)(Associate Research Fellow @Earthquake Disaster & Risk Evaluation and Management Center (E-DREaM), National Central University, Taiwan)gave a talk (Online 16:00- ). For more information, click here.
Aug. 07, 2023
At the American Geophysical Union (AGU) 2023 meeting, the seismology session S029 proposed by Zhuang Jiancang (Professor, ISM) was accepted and 49 presentations were submitted.
Jul. 10, 2023
Press Release: "New Method to Monitor Magma Activity Based on Data Processing of Earthquakes Occurring Directly Under Mt. Fuji" (in Japanese).  For English translation, click here.
Jul. 06, 2023
The results of ISM-STAR-E in FY2022 were introduced at the main agenda item "Advancement of Long-Term Prediction Methods for Inland Earthquakes" of the 88th Session of the Research and Observation Planning Subcommittee of the Policy Committee held on June 28, 2023, at the Headquarters for Earthquake Research Promotion of the Japanese government. These results will be used as a reference for the release of forecast information in the future.
Jun. 30, 2023
Keisuke Yano (Associate Professor, ISM) gave a lecture at the Center for Mathematical and Data Science Education and Research (MMDS) at Osaka University. For more info, click here.
Jun. 16, 2023
At the 89th Statistical Seismology Seminar, Prof. Zhigang Peng (School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, USA)gave a talk (Online 16:00- ). For more information, click here.
Jun. 06, 2023
Zhuang Jiancang (Professor, ISM) has organised an invited session "Statistical Seismology" at IWAP2023 (International Workshop on Applied Probability 2023) in Thessaloniki, Greece.
May. 15, 2023
Zhuang Jiancang (Professor, ISM) visited the University of Otago, New Zealand (from 22 Apr to 11 May) for a joint research meeting on 'slow-slip'.
Apr. 07, 2023
Stephen Wu (Associate Professor, ISM) received the Young Scientists' Prize of the Commendation for Science and Technology by the Minister of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology. For the ISM press release, click here (PDF in Japanese).
Apr. 03, 2023
Yosihiko Ogata (Project Researcher, Professor Emeritus, ISM) is ranked #14 in Japan among Best Scientists for 2023.
Mar. 20, 2023
Dr. Koji Tamaribuchi (Meteorological Research Institute) received the Seismological Society of Japan Young Scientist Incentive Award by his research result on "Improvement of Immediate Prediction of Seismic Motions and Elucidation of Unusual Seismic Activity Based on Advanced Earthquake Identification Methods".
Mar. 17, 2023
At the 88th Statistical Seismology Seminar, Dr. Sebastian Hainzl (GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Germany) and Sam Stockman (Computational Statistics and Data Science, University of Bristol, UK) gave talks (15:00 -17:00). For more information, click here.
Mar. 14, 2023
Keisuke Yano (Associate Professor, ISM) had an invited talk at Slow-to-Fast Earthquake Workshop in Taiwan (March13-14, 2023).
Mar. 13, 2023
Yosihiko Ogata (Project Researcher, Professor Emeritus, ISM) presented "Experiments in Prediction of Crustal Activity (1) - Short-term Probability of Inland Earthquakes Prediction and Evaluation of Short-Term Probability of Inland Earthquakes" on the short-term prediction of spatiotemporal seismic activity over the last three years using various spatiotemporal ETAS models based on online source data, and the evaluation of the results of these runs at the 238th Liaison Conference on Earthquake Prediction (held on February 28, 2023). In addition, he reported on the aftershock activity of the February 6, 2023 earthquake in Turkey under the Urgent Topic Issue.
Mar. 13, 2023
Keisuke Yano (Associate Professor, ISM) gave an invited lecture for the Priority Topic of the conference "Deepening Earthquake Research with Artificial Intelligence" entitled "Development of a Method for Detecting Seismic and Geodetic Events Using Multiple Observation Stations with Artificial Intelligence" at the 238th Liaison Conference on Earthquake Prediction (held on February 28, 2023).
Mar. 02, 2023
Masumi Yamada (Associate Professor, DPRI Kyoto University) received the 2022 INNO-vation Program Generation Award and the Kyoto University Tachibana Award. (Re-edited from 2/14 Topics)
Dec. 26, 2022
At the 87th Statistical Seismology Seminar, Daisuke Sato, JSPS Research Fellow (Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University) gave a talk. (Online 16:00 -17:00)
Nov. 25, 2022
Our group's research outputs of "Analysis of the Noto Peninsula earthquake swarm using the nonstationary ETAS mode" and "Long-term prediction and validation of inland earthquakes using the hierarchical space-time (HIST-ETAS) ETAS model, etc." were presented as a monitoring report and a summary of key issues lecture, respectively, at the Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction meeting (YouTube video available).
Nov. 14, 2022
Zhuang Jiancang (Associate Professor, ISM) and Sofiane Rahmani (Center of Research in Astronomy, Astrophysics and Geophysics (CRAAG), Algeria) gave talks at the 86th Statistical Seismology Seminar. (Online 16:15 -17:30)
Oct. 24, 2022
The 12th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei12) was held in Corsica (Institut des Etudes Scientifiques de Cargèse, Corsica, France, 17-21 October 2022). The project leader, Associate Professor Zhuang, Jiancang (Programme Committee member), Xiong, Ziyao (Project Assistant Professor) and Giuseppe, Petrillo (Project Researcher) attended and presented their work.
Oct. 06, 2022
Masayuki Kano (Assistant Professor, Department of Geophysics, Tohoku University) received the 30th Tsuboi Prize of the Geodetic Society of Japan Award for Research on frictional properties and slip diversity of faults in subduction zones based on geodetic data.
Oct. 03, 2022
Peng Hong (Project Researcher, ISM) has joined our team.
Oct. 03, 2022
Tomoaki Nishikawa (Assistant Professor, DPRI Kyoto University; Visiting Researcher, ISM) gave a talk at the 85th Statistical Seismology Seminar (Online 16:15 -18:15).
Jul. 23, 2022
Yosihiko Ogata (Project Researcher, Professor Emeritus, ISM) gave a lecture at the Seismological Society of Japan's Special Symposium: A Major Earthquake! What next after "Be careful for about a week"? -Late Earthquakes and Temporary Information-(in Japanese), Online. Click for: the summary & PowerPoint [pdf].
Jul. 05, 2022
Giuseppe Petrillo (Project Researcher, ISM) has invited for a lecture at「Coarse-grained description for non-equilibrium systems and transport phenomena」in Rome, Italy. For the summary of the lecture, click here.
May. 27, 2022
Masumi Yamada (Assistant Professor, DPRI, Kyoto University) gave a talk on "Mystery of Tsunami Caused by January 2022 Tongan Volcano Eruption" at the 51st Seismological Society of Japan Press Conference.
May. 26, 2022
Keisuke Yano (Associate Professor, ISM), the sub-thesis leader of our project, has been selected to receive the Ogawa Research Encouragement Award from the Japan Statistical Society.
May. 25, 2022
Our group members hold a session "Statistical seismology and underlying physical processes" at the Japan Geoscience Union 2022 Congress (JpGU2022) (hybrid format).
May. 02, 2022
Giuseppe Petrillo (Project Researcher, ISM) has joined our team.
Apr. 13, 2022
The video of the 1st Research Forum of the Seismic Survey Research Project Using Information Science (STAR-E Project) "Earthquake x AI, Innovation Aimed at by the STAR-E Project: High-profile AI Companies Talk about the Potential of Earthquake Research" has been posted on the MEXT's YouTube channel.
Mar. 18, 2022
The ISM STAR-E project research project was introduced in the Spring 2022 issue of Earthquake Headquarters News.
Mar. 17, 2022
The analysis results of the 2022.3.16 Fukushima Prefecture Offshore Earthquake Early Warning, occurred in a short period of time can be viewed on the website of Masumi Yamada (Assistant Professor, Division of Earthquake Disaster Prevention Research, Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University).
Mar. 09, 2022
Long-term prediction map of a major earthquake directly under the earth by Yoshihiko Ogata (Project Researcher, Professor Emeritus, ISM) was featured in The Nihon Keizai Shimbun (Nikkei electronic edition) (The text is available only to subscribers, so please refer to the Bulletin of the Japan Federation of Earthquake Prediction Association.)
Feb. 01, 2022
Statistical Mathematics Vol. 69, No. 2, Special Topic: Hawkes Process: Recent Development and Applications edited by Jiancang Zhuang (the project leader, Associate Professor, ISM) and others (including a conference article by Prof. Hawkes) has been published.
Jan. 12, 2022
Our group's proposal has been selected for the national project STAR-E by the Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology (MEXT) of Japan.  The contents of the proposal and an interview are posted on the "ISM Project Introduction" page.