Seismology TowArd Research innovation with data of Earthquake Project (STAR-E Project)「New developments in space-time earthquake forecasting and monitoring: from long-term to real-time」



Mar. 17, 2024 NEW
The 13th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (Statsei13) will be held March 17-20, 2024 at Southern University of Science and Technology (SUSTech) Convention Center, Shenzhen, China. 
Nov. 30, 2023 NEW
Kazuyoshi Nanjo (Project Professor, Shizuoka Prefectural University), Takao Kumazawa (Project Associate Professor, ISM), Yoshihiko Ogata (Project Researcher and Professor Emeritus, ISM) gave an invited lecture on Seismic Activity off Hokkaido and Tohoku Coast and Noto Peninsula Earthquake Swarm at the 241st meeting of the Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction. Click here for details → 【プレスリリース】北海道・東北沖と能登半島の活発な地震活動に関する最新知見 (Japanese)
Nov. 07, 2023 NEW
The 92th Statistical Seismology seminar, workshops on the Research Progress of Star-E and Italian-Japanese Joint Projects was held on Nov. 7, 10:00-12:00, 14:00-16:30; in the 4F lounge in ISM, also zoom, hybrid.
For more information, click here.
Oct. 03, 2023
At the 91st Statistical Seismology Seminar, Prof. Guan, Yongtao (Department of Management Science, School of Business Administration, University of Miami) gave a talk (Online 16:00-17:00). For more information, click here.
Sep. 20, 2023
Masumi Yamada (Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University) gave a lecture at the Seismology Summer School 2023 organised by the Seismological Society of Japan. Click here for more information (SSJ site in Japanese).
Sep. 08, 2023
Matsu'ura, S Ritsuko (Senior Fellow, Association for the Development of Earthquake Prediction) appeared on "NHK History Detective - What to do about Ieyasu vs. Hideyoshi" program, showing the seismic intensity distribution of the Tensho Earthquake and explaining why Hideyoshi had no choice but to compromise with Tokugawa.
Aug. 29, 2023
At the 90th Statistical Seismology Seminar, Dr. Hsieh, Ming-Che (謝 銘哲)(Associate Research Fellow @Earthquake Disaster & Risk Evaluation and Management Center (E-DREaM), National Central University, Taiwan)gave a talk (Online 16:00- ). For more information, click here.
Aug. 07, 2023
At the American Geophysical Union (AGU) 2023 meeting, the seismology session S029 proposed by Zhuang Jiancang (Professor, ISM) was accepted and 49 presentations were submitted.
Jul. 10, 2023
Press Release: "New Method to Monitor Magma Activity Based on Data Processing of Earthquakes Occurring Directly Under Mt. Fuji" (in Japanese).  For English translation, click here.
Jul. 06, 2023
The results of ISM-STAR-E in FY2022 were introduced at the main agenda item "Advancement of Long-Term Prediction Methods for Inland Earthquakes" of the 88th Session of the Research and Observation Planning Subcommittee of the Policy Committee held on June 28, 2023, at the Headquarters for Earthquake Research Promotion of the Japanese government. These results will be used as a reference for the release of forecast information in the future.
Jun. 30, 2023
Keisuke Yano (Associate Professor, ISM) gave a lecture at the Center for Mathematical and Data Science Education and Research (MMDS) at Osaka University. For more info, click here.
Jun. 16, 2023
At the 89th Statistical Seismology Seminar, Prof. Zhigang Peng (School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, USA)gave a talk (Online 16:00- ). For more information, click here.
Jun. 06, 2023
Zhuang Jiancang (Professor, ISM) has organised an invited session "Statistical Seismology" at IWAP2023 (International Workshop on Applied Probability 2023) in Thessaloniki, Greece.
May. 15, 2023
Zhuang Jiancang (Professor, ISM) visited the University of Otago, New Zealand (from 22 Apr to 11 May) for a joint research meeting on 'slow-slip'.
Apr. 07, 2023
Stephen Wu (Associate Professor, ISM) received the Young Scientists' Prize of the Commendation for Science and Technology by the Minister of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology. For the ISM press release, click here (PDF in Japanese).
Apr. 03, 2023
Yosihiko Ogata (Project Researcher, Professor Emeritus, ISM) is ranked #14 in Japan among Best Scientists for 2023.
Mar. 20, 2023
Dr. Koji Tamaribuchi (Meteorological Research Institute) received the Seismological Society of Japan Young Scientist Incentive Award by his research result on "Improvement of Immediate Prediction of Seismic Motions and Elucidation of Unusual Seismic Activity Based on Advanced Earthquake Identification Methods".
Mar. 17, 2023
At the 88th Statistical Seismology Seminar, Dr. Sebastian Hainzl (GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Germany) and Sam Stockman (Computational Statistics and Data Science, University of Bristol, UK) gave talks (15:00 -17:00). For more information, click here.
Mar. 14, 2023
Keisuke Yano (Associate Professor, ISM) had an invited talk at Slow-to-Fast Earthquake Workshop in Taiwan (March13-14, 2023).
Mar. 13, 2023
Yosihiko Ogata (Project Researcher, Professor Emeritus, ISM) presented "Experiments in Prediction of Crustal Activity (1) - Short-term Probability of Inland Earthquakes Prediction and Evaluation of Short-Term Probability of Inland Earthquakes" on the short-term prediction of spatiotemporal seismic activity over the last three years using various spatiotemporal ETAS models based on online source data, and the evaluation of the results of these runs at the 238th Liaison Conference on Earthquake Prediction (held on February 28, 2023). In addition, he reported on the aftershock activity of the February 6, 2023 earthquake in Turkey under the Urgent Topic Issue.
Mar. 13, 2023
Keisuke Yano (Associate Professor, ISM) gave an invited lecture for the Priority Topic of the conference "Deepening Earthquake Research with Artificial Intelligence" entitled "Development of a Method for Detecting Seismic and Geodetic Events Using Multiple Observation Stations with Artificial Intelligence" at the 238th Liaison Conference on Earthquake Prediction (held on February 28, 2023).
Mar. 02, 2023
Masumi Yamada (Associate Professor, DPRI Kyoto University) received the 2022 INNO-vation Program Generation Award and the Kyoto University Tachibana Award. (Re-edited from 2/14 Topics)
Dec. 26, 2022
At the 87th Statistical Seismology Seminar, Daisuke Sato, JSPS Research Fellow (Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University) gave a talk. (Online 16:00 -17:00)
Nov. 25, 2022
Our group's research outputs of "Analysis of the Noto Peninsula earthquake swarm using the nonstationary ETAS mode" and "Long-term prediction and validation of inland earthquakes using the hierarchical space-time (HIST-ETAS) ETAS model, etc." were presented as a monitoring report and a summary of key issues lecture, respectively, at the Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction meeting (YouTube video available).
Nov. 14, 2022
Zhuang Jiancang (Associate Professor, ISM) and Sofiane Rahmani (Center of Research in Astronomy, Astrophysics and Geophysics (CRAAG), Algeria) gave talks at the 86th Statistical Seismology Seminar. (Online 16:15 -17:30)
Oct. 24, 2022
The 12th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei12) was held in Corsica (Institut des Etudes Scientifiques de Cargèse, Corsica, France, 17-21 October 2022). The project leader, Associate Professor Zhuang, Jiancang (Programme Committee member), Xiong, Ziyao (Project Assistant Professor) and Giuseppe, Petrillo (Project Researcher) attended and presented their work.
Oct. 06, 2022
Masayuki Kano (Assistant Professor, Department of Geophysics, Tohoku University) received the 30th Tsuboi Prize of the Geodetic Society of Japan Award for Research on frictional properties and slip diversity of faults in subduction zones based on geodetic data.
Oct. 03, 2022
Peng Hong (Project Researcher, ISM) has joined our team.
Oct. 03, 2022
Tomoaki Nishikawa (Assistant Professor, DPRI Kyoto University; Visiting Researcher, ISM) gave a talk at the 85th Statistical Seismology Seminar (Online 16:15 -18:15).
Jul. 23, 2022
Yosihiko Ogata (Project Researcher, Professor Emeritus, ISM) gave a lecture at the Seismological Society of Japan's Special Symposium: A Major Earthquake! What next after "Be careful for about a week"? -Late Earthquakes and Temporary Information-(in Japanese), Online. Click for: the summary & PowerPoint [pdf].
Jul. 05, 2022
Giuseppe Petrillo (Project Researcher, ISM) has invited for a lecture at「Coarse-grained description for non-equilibrium systems and transport phenomena」in Rome, Italy. For the summary of the lecture, click here.
May. 27, 2022
Masumi Yamada (Assistant Professor, DPRI, Kyoto University) gave a talk on "Mystery of Tsunami Caused by January 2022 Tongan Volcano Eruption" at the 51st Seismological Society of Japan Press Conference.
May. 26, 2022
Keisuke Yano (Associate Professor, ISM), the sub-thesis leader of our project, has been selected to receive the Ogawa Research Encouragement Award from the Japan Statistical Society.
May. 25, 2022
Our group members hold a session "Statistical seismology and underlying physical processes" at the Japan Geoscience Union 2022 Congress (JpGU2022) (hybrid format).
May. 02, 2022
Giuseppe Petrillo (Project Researcher, ISM) has joined our team.
Apr. 13, 2022
The video of the 1st Research Forum of the Seismic Survey Research Project Using Information Science (STAR-E Project) "Earthquake x AI, Innovation Aimed at by the STAR-E Project: High-profile AI Companies Talk about the Potential of Earthquake Research" has been posted on the MEXT's YouTube channel.
Mar. 18, 2022
The ISM STAR-E project research project was introduced in the Spring 2022 issue of Earthquake Headquarters News.
Mar. 17, 2022
The analysis results of the 2022.3.16 Fukushima Prefecture Offshore Earthquake Early Warning, occurred in a short period of time can be viewed on the website of Masumi Yamada (Assistant Professor, Division of Earthquake Disaster Prevention Research, Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University).
Mar. 09, 2022
Long-term prediction map of a major earthquake directly under the earth by Yoshihiko Ogata (Project Researcher, Professor Emeritus, ISM) was featured in The Nihon Keizai Shimbun (Nikkei electronic edition) (The text is available only to subscribers, so please refer to the Bulletin of the Japan Federation of Earthquake Prediction Association.)
Feb. 01, 2022
Statistical Mathematics Vol. 69, No. 2, Special Topic: Hawkes Process: Recent Development and Applications edited by Jiancang Zhuang (the project leader, Associate Professor, ISM) and others (including a conference article by Prof. Hawkes) has been published.
Jan. 12, 2022
Our group's proposal has been selected for the national project STAR-E by the Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology (MEXT) of Japan.  The contents of the proposal and an interview are posted on the "ISM Project Introduction" page.